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Severe Weather Outlook for Monday, January 8th

Beginning tomorrow morning, warm, most air will start to move inland from the Gulf of Mexico. As the warm front pushes inland (the leading edge of this airmass), showers and thunderstorms will be possible. Some of this activity could be on the stronger side, containing gusty winds and small hail.

The main severe weather threat will occur during the afternoon hours as temperatures warm into the upper 60s and lower 70s. During this timeframe (from roughly 1pm-7pm), a few storms could produce damaging winds, hail, and even isolated tornadoes. The Storm Prediction Center has placed us within a Slight Risk at this time, but the potential is there to see an upgrade in later outlooks. Thereafter, some lingering rain will be possible into the overnight hours as temperatures fall into the upper 30s and lower 40s.

The magnitude of the threat will be contingent on how warm it gets during the afternoon hours. There is plenty of wind shear and moisture available, but if temperatures can warm into the 70s, that will provide the instability needed to initiate severe thunderstorms. The warm front may even act as a focal point for rotating storms tomorrow afternoon, although the exact placement of the front is still unclear. Regardless, most, if not all, of the area will see beneficial rainfall. Rainfall amounts of 1-2 inches will be common. Outside of the storms, winds will be quite gusty, with gusts up to 50 mph possible both tomorrow and Tuesday. A Wind Advisory is in effect for both days.

Severe Weather Outlook

Wind Advisory


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